Warrior Met Coal Stock Performance
| HCC Stock | USD 87.08 2.16 2.54% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Warrior Met holds a performance score of 8. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.18, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Warrior Met will likely underperform. Please check Warrior Met's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Warrior Met's historical returns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Warrior Met Coal are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental indicators, Warrior Met exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.54 | Five Day Return 2.36 | Year To Date Return (2.76) | Ten Year Return 887.3 | All Time Return 887.3 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0038 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.32 | Dividend Date 2026-03-02 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-23 |
1 | HCC Analyst Rating UBS Maintains Neutral, Raises Price Target - GuruFocus | 12/12/2025 |
2 | Walter Scheller Sells 100,000 Shares of Warrior Met Coal Stock | 01/14/2026 |
3 | Acquisition by Walter Scheller of 74 shares of Warrior Met subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
4 | Acquisition by Dale Boyles of 2612 shares of Warrior Met subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/22/2026 |
5 | NWF Advisory Services Inc. Has 5.41 Million Stock Position in Warrior Met Coal HCC | 01/27/2026 |
6 | Warrior Met Coal Is Down 6.3 percent After Blue Creek Ramp-Up Plans Draw Fresh Analyst Optimism | 01/30/2026 |
7 | Warrior Met Coal HCC Stock Position Lifted by Allianz Asset Management GmbH | 02/04/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 2261 shares by Dale Boyles of Warrior Met subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2026 |
9 | Warrior Met Coal Cut to Hold at Wall Street Zen | 02/10/2026 |
10 | Warrior Met Coal Q4 2025 Earnings Preview | 02/11/2026 |
11 | Warrior Met Coal GAAP EPS of 0.44 misses by 0.08, revenue of 384M beats by 0.98M | 02/12/2026 |
12 | Warrior Met Coal Q4 Earnings Call Highlights | 02/13/2026 |
13 | Assessing Warrior Met Coal Valuation After Record 2025 Output And Early Blue Creek Ramp-Up | 02/18/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 499.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -405.1 M |
Warrior Met Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,507 in Warrior Met Coal on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,201 from holding Warrior Met Coal or generate 16.0% return on investment over 90 days. Warrior Met Coal is generating 0.2829% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.5004% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Warrior, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Warrior Met Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Warrior Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 87.08 | 90 days | 87.08 | about 51.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warrior Met to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.19 (This Warrior Met Coal probability density function shows the probability of Warrior Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Warrior Met Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Warrior Met
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warrior Met Coal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Warrior Met's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Warrior Met Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warrior Met is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warrior Met's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warrior Met Coal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warrior Met within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Warrior Met Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warrior Met for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warrior Met Coal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: TTE Q4 Earnings Lag Estimates, Production Ramp-Up Boosts Revenues |
Warrior Met Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Warrior Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Warrior Met's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warrior Met's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.2 M |
Warrior Met Fundamentals Growth
Warrior Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Warrior Met, and Warrior Met fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Warrior Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0269 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0106 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.45 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 52.57 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 2.37 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.12 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.40 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.31 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 301.57 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 235.89 M | ||||
| Net Income | 57 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 491.55 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 12.48 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 270.94 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 7.71 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 40.73 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 229.25 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.08 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.46 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.78 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.89 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 563.23 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 355.15 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 124.3 M | ||||
About Warrior Met Performance
By analyzing Warrior Met's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Warrior Met's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Warrior Met has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Warrior Met has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 3.1 K | 3.3 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.03 | 0.03 |
Things to note about Warrior Met Coal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Warrior Met for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Warrior Met Coal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: TTE Q4 Earnings Lag Estimates, Production Ramp-Up Boosts Revenues |
- Analyzing Warrior Met's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Warrior Met's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Warrior Met's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Warrior Met's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Warrior Met's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Warrior Met's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Warrior Met's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Warrior Stock analysis
When running Warrior Met's price analysis, check to measure Warrior Met's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warrior Met is operating at the current time. Most of Warrior Met's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warrior Met's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warrior Met's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warrior Met to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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